Friday, September 12, 2014

Mid-term election update

 The Senate Race now hangs in the balance of Kansas determines whether Chad Taylor's name remains in the ballot or is removed.  If Kansas Supreme Court rules that Taylor's name remains in the ballot, the GOP will likely take control in the Senate. However, it would be a tie and it would likely be controlled by the democrats since Vice President Biden is the President of the Senate, Taylor name is removed from the ballot.
 
In order to avoid getting a tie breaking decision, the Kansas Independent might decide to caucus with the republicans on other issues. Then you have Independent Angus King who said he would caucus with the GOP but still would vote with the Democrats.

But then you have Mississippi which could turn blue depending on Chris McDaniels' challenge on the GOP primary results. The only thing that would keep the GOP held seat if the Mississippi Supreme Court judge rejects and agrees with the other judge's rulling. Currently McDaniel before Incumbent Cochran's win made racist remarks


In the Gubernatorial elections, there is a possibility that Democrats may take control of the board of governors.  Pat Quinn the incumbent of Illinois who was in trouble of losing to his opponent Republican Bruce Rauner, now has a good chance to safe his seat and win his second term. David Ige who won the Democratic primary is poised to hold the Democratic seat that was held by the incumbent Neil Ambercromie. In Arizona, it is a toss-up battle between Doug Ducey and Fred Duval. Previous average poll shown that Duval poised to win the seat for the democrats has now been flipped back to a GOP hold for Ducey. In Alaska, Independent Bill Walker who was formally a GOP contender in the primary is leading the incumbent Sean Parnell by 3 points. It is expected that Walker would caucus with the Democrats since his running mate Byron Mallot (D) dropped out of the race and helping him win. The battleground states we are watching is Florida, Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin.


GOP 26

Dem 23

Ind 1

Update: New poll shows that Begich is back in the lead of Sullivan by 5%. It is expected that Kansas Independent will likely caucus with the Democrats to avoid a tie breaker.

The new projection shows that the Democrats will still maintain the majority of the Senate.

Dem 48

GOP 49

Ind 03

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