Tuesday, October 28, 2014

New projection for Gubernatorial Update

New average polls show that the Incumbent governor of Alaska Sean Parnell has a slight lead over Independent Bill Walker by .2%

Governor Projection

GOP: 30
Dem: 20

Update for Senate

Average polls show slight lead for Kansas GOP incumbent by 0.5%.

Hypothetical Projection

GOP: 53
Dem: 45
Ind: 2

Update 2:

Alaska flips for Senate and Governor races.

Projection for Senate:

GOP: 52
Dem:46
Ind: 2

Governor projection:
GOP: 28
Dem: 21
Ind: 1

Saturday, October 25, 2014

New projection in Senate shows Democrats maintain control by Biden's tie breaker

New projection shows that Democrats has a chance to maintain control of the Senate by Biden's tie breaker.

New polls average polls show Alaskan Incumbent Begich is now back in the lead by over 2 percent. 

The only way for this to happen is that Michelle Nunn wins the November election avoiding a runoff. But this might not happen should Michelle Nunn and David Perdue go into a runoff and should Perdue win the runoff it would give the GOP the narrow majority.

The only reason for Democrats to maintain control by Biden's tiebreaker is to stop Fast Track (Trade Promotion Authority) and the TPP otherwise it would give the GOP the advantage and give President Obama what he wants.

Senate Projection:

GOP: 50
Dem: 47
Ind: 3

Sunday, October 19, 2014

Early voting has started

Early voting has started so get out and vote.

In the Gubernatorial election,

Thomas Foley the challenger is back in the lead

Projection

GOP: 28
Dem: 21
Ind: 1

In the Senate race,

In Colorado, Gardner losing ground as Incumbent Tom Udall is close to safe his seat and neither for Joni Ernst in Iowa, one resident says that she's old-fashioned.

No final projection for the Senate yet  But in Louisiana Jungle Primary polls show that both Incumbent Landrieu and Challenger Cassidy are likely heading for a runoff as neither of them don't reach 50%.

Update for Governor Race:

Connecticut flips back and forth.

Now we have challenger Charles Baker in Massachusetts leading incumbent Martha Coakley.

Projection

GOP: 29
Dem: 20
Ind: 1

Update Senate Race:

So it looks like that the GOP will have a small control of the Senate. For Fast Track Trade Authority, it might be impossible for McConnell to get it to Obama's desk due to a filibuster because Joni Ernst who said in her campaign that she's against the TPP and Fast Track and Rand Paul will both likely to vote with the Democrats to block cloture. Second, McConnell could consider on changing the filibuster rule back to 60 for executive nominees, but changing the rule for legislation may give Reid a taste of his own medicine but it would screw us all as it makes it more easier for Obama to get Fast Track. Furthermore, Mississippi Supreme Court judge hasn't ruled if there was voting fraud, likewise Travis Childers who is a southern democrat, would win and save the Democratic control by a tie-breaker through Vice President Biden. But then, Georgia is still likely going into a runoff because neither both Daivd Perdue or Michelle Nunn have 50% of the voters. Nunn may not win Georgia in January runoff even if polls show that she's ahead of Perdue.

I will explain what else the TPP can harm.


Projection:

GOP: 51
Dem: 46
Ind: 3

Friday, October 17, 2014

Latest TPP Leak could stifle consumer speech, Journalism, and endanger healthcare, Michelle Nunn turns Georgia Blue

New leak in the TPP trade agreement is very worse according to sources Techdirt, the Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF), and Knowledge Ecology International (KEI)


The US and Japan would rather see patients die without having surgery by opposing an exclusion for surgical method patents. Doctors would end up losing their medical license and even end up in prison plus loyalty for performing surgery on a patient without permission from the surgical patent holder.

Also affordable medicines to treat HIV/AIDs and vaccines would be difficult more people will die and even be more vulnerable to viruses such as Hepatitis A, Influenza, or H5N1.

Also the leak TPP contains a section that will stifle consumer speech and freedom of the press. Protecting Trade Secrets. Just like linking to copyright material that can get you banned from Facebook, Twitter, and Google but also eventually shuts down alternative resources, New American, Infowars, Russia Today, Free Speech TV that airs Democracy Now! which covered the TPP.

And to make this ridiculous, PolitiFact denies that the TPP would harm healthcare, freedom of the press and free speech on the internet and even consumer criticism. Why is that? PolitiFact supports the corporations.

Smart Track = DUMB TRACK

No fast tracking. No to TPP. Tell Congress to stop the TPP.

Senate race update:

They said "It couldn't been done" but it did. Michelle Nunn has turned Georgia blue but Democrats wouldn't hold their breath. It's unknown whether Michelle Nunn could win the November 5th election avoiding a January runoff as other media sources say neither Nunn or Perdue would get 50 percent and would have to go into a runoff. If Nunn could sway the Libertarian voters since Amanda Swafford poll is six percent, then the runoff would be avoided and Nunn would win.


Projection for Senate

GOP: 52
Dem: 46
Ind: 2

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Incumbent Roberts has small lead over Independent Greg Orman and other Gubernatorial news

New polls show that incumbent have an average small lead over Independent Greg Orman by 0.4%.

Meanwhile Georgia Senate Election debate has brought Michelle Nunn in the lead by 3 percent but is getting a little closer to turn Georgia blue David Perdue is ahead by an average 0.8 percent.

More polls show that two incumbents Kay Hagan of North Carolina and Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire are both slipping in latest polls.


Projection for the Senate

GOP:53
Dem:45
Ind: 2

In the Governor race, Democrats who are taking control of the governorship is still optimistic because of the Battleground states Colorado and Kansas.

Projection for Governorship:

GOP 27
Dem 22
Ind: 1

Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Democrats likely to take control of the State board of Governor by Tie Breaker

New projection now show that Democrats are likely to take control of the State Board of Governors by tie breaker, and Alaskan Independent Bill Walker likely to caucus the Democrats along with his running mate. Just like the way the Senate goes in case of a 50/50 with independents usually caucusing with the Democrats.


Kansas and Maine keeps flipping back and forth.  But some polls show that Maine residents favor Elliot Cutler who was endorsed by Senator Angus King. Should Cutler win Maine, he would become the Second Independent Governor.

However, we will be watching two states and at least one of them will break the tie whether Fred Duval will win Arizona or Jason Carter win Georgia.

Projection

GOP: 25
Dem:  24
Ind:  1

Speaking of the Senate, former GOP South Dakotan Independent Larry Presler, one poll shows that 54% of South Dakotans deciding to vote for him. Should Democrat Mike Michaud drop out, Pressler would be the second independent to win South Dakota. Pressler will likely caucus with the Democrats since he endorsed President Barack Obama in 2008, but he might caucus with the GOP if they control 51 seats, but he would vote with the Democrats to filibuster any bills they put on the Senate Floor.

Saturday, October 11, 2014

Maine LePage back in the Lead

Maine's GOP incumbent LePage is back in the lead by an average of over 1%.

Projection

GOP: 27
Dem 22
Ind: 1

Tuesday, October 7, 2014

Democrats likely to take control governorship

State polls show that Democrats are poised to take majority control of the governorship.

Massachusetts - Martha Coakley is now gone from vulnerable to safe.

Illinois is still a toss-up fight between incumbent Pat Quinn and Bruce Raunner.


Democrats are focusing on winning Georgia and poised to hold Colorado. Which would give them the control of the governorship by 25 seats with Bill Walker caucusing with Democrats.

Projection for now is

GOP: 26
Dem: 23
Ind: 1

Sunday, October 5, 2014

SatAM comes to an end, Blame the FCC

You can blame FCC for the stupid liberal E/I rule with all that Mother Earth Gaia worshiping Climate alarmist trash they force networks to air.

Gubernatorial Election Update

Notice: Election Projection polls are inaccurate.

Florida

Challenger Charlie Christ is in the Lead

Georgia

Jason Carter is gaining in close to winning the governor seat. He is trailing incumbent Nathan Deal by 0.1 percent.average.

Illinois

Bruce Raunner in an average poll shows that he's back in the lead.

Meanwhile Martha Coakley in Massachusetts is trailing Charlie Baker.

Prediction

GOP 29
Dem: 20
Ind: 1

Update:

New average poll in Connecticut shows Incumbent Malloy leading Foley by an estimate of 2.7 percent

New projection

GOP: 28
Dem: 21
Ind: 1

Thursday, October 2, 2014

TPP is about dead some sources say, others basic agreement to be finalized

There are some good news and some bad news. Some sources say that the TPP is dead.

This could be good news because Japan has a strong stance on its agricultural products. Other groups including labor unions, non-profits organizations, and some manga authors who enjoy seeing people support their work show strong opposition against the TPP.

Some other sources say that they will likely reach a basic agreement, this is bad news.

The leaked IP chapter of the TPP is worse it could overturn the Alice corp v. CLS bank decision you can go to prison for installing Linux over Windows and every open source software you have installed including Mozilla Firefox or Google Chrome on your computer. The TPP would also create a dress police making cosplay a felony, you could even get fined for singing a copyrighted song in public, and even you could go to prison if you or your child doodle a copyrighted cartoon character. Deviantart would be removing the fan art category and be force to police their website and ban users for having or uploading fan art. Facebook, Google and Twitter would become the copyright police to ban people for linking to a news article.

Even if a basic agreement is reached, Fast track (Trade Promoting Authority) would need to be renewed before the TPP is submitted, Congress cannot look at, amend, or filibuster it and they only have 20 hours of debate and they have to approve it by an up and down vote. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid promising not to bring a fast track bill up to the floor won't be able to if the GOP takes the Senate, he could filibuster fast track, Senator Wyden who controls the trade committee would be given to Senator Orin Hatch who is the co-sponsor of Fast Track with Senator Baucus who is now the ambassador to China. The GOP controlling the Senate which would likely give Obama fast track.

Wyden's Smart track bill which is a watered down version of Fast track, calls for transparency and to address currency manipulation.